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US Fed leaves policy rate unchanged, says unemployment rate is low

Washington, Jan 30, 2025

Fed officials say they largely believe the progress in lowering inflation will resume this year, but have now put rates on hold as they await data to confirm it

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday and gave little insight into when further reductions in borrowing costs may take place in an economy where inflation remains above target, growth continues, and the unemployment rate is low.

After several months in which inflation data have largely moved sideways, the U.S. central bank dropped from its latest policy statement language saying that inflation "has made progress" towards the Fed's 2% inflation goal, noting only that the pace of price increases "remains elevated." Recent key inflation readings remain about half a percentage point or more above the Fed's target.

Fed officials say they largely believe the progress in lowering inflation will resume this year, but have now put rates on hold as they await data to confirm it.

"Economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. The unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level in recent months, and labor market conditions remain solid," the central bank's policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee said in a statement after the end of its latest two-day meeting.

"In considering the extent and timing of additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks," it said.

The unanimous decision to keep the overnight interest rate in the current 4.25%-4.50% range, coupled with the new statement, puts the Fed in a holding pattern as officials await further inflation and jobs data and clarity on the impact of President Donald Trump's policies.

The Trump administration already has moved to deport some undocumented immigrants and freeze federal spending, and could broaden its reach to include as soon as this weekend new import tariffs on major trading partners such as Mexico and Canada.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. EST (1930 GMT) to elaborate on this week's policy meeting.

The decision to hold the policy rate steady was widely anticipated following three consecutive rate cuts in 2024 that reduced the Fed's benchmark rate by a full percentage point.

There is debate at the central bank about how much further rates may need to fall, with policymakers anticipating perhaps two quarter-percentage-point rate cuts over the course of the year.

Officials say they want to see if inflation continues to fall to the Fed's target in the months ahead before easing monetary policy again, while also expressing uncertainty about the effect Trump's plans will have on price pressures, the labor market and economic growth.

[Reuters]

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